Trading bot test: Jev stays 85–88% confident while losing 5.2%
Buying and selling MON/USDC every block, Jev made 1,838 decisions in under 10 minutes at 85–88% confidence yet lost 5.2%; adding a rule to flatten below 0.55 confidence turned the run into +4.3%.
THIS IS F**KING DANGEROUS jev was 85-88% confident on nearly every call. buy or sell MON/USDC on Kuru, every block, no abstaining. 1,838 decisions in under 10 minutes, roughly three per second, and it ended down 5.2%. that's the part nobody checks. the confidence score was high the whole way down. a human would have stopped. it couldn't, because nobody gave it the option. one sentence fixed it: flatten under conf 0.55. permission to stand down. same pair, same ~90ms per decision, 2,758 calls in, up 4.3%. still a dry run. but an agent that can't say "i don't know" will say something else with the same confidence ↓
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