Polymarket odds of a Gemini 4.0 release by October 31 jump to 93%
The Polymarket contract for a Gemini 4.0 release by October 31 has risen to 93%, but the author notes the rules require full public availability and the explicit Gemini 4.0 name, so a closed beta resolves as No.
Retail is throwing $1.26M at AI hype while completely ignoring the fine print The Polymarket contract for a Gemini 4.0 release by October 31 just pumped to 93% The crowd is buying code leaks and rumors But the oracle rules are mathematically unforgiving To resolve to "Yes": > The model must be fully accessible to the general public > Closed betas, private access, or waitlists mean an instant loss > It must be explicitly named Gemini 4.0 Google never drops a major architectural leap straight to the public without a gated safety phase Even if they make a massive official announcement tomorrow, a closed beta triggers a "No" resolution Buying at 93¢ is no longer a tech bet It is just donating liquidity to people who actually read the rules