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Ethan Mollick asks Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra to forecast solving ETH

Mollick asked Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra, without looking anything up, when the Exponential Time Hypothesis will be solved, using the answers to show how hard forecasting is even for AI.

Ethan Mollick

@emollickArchived 12 hours agoOriginally posted 2026.10.27

Ethan Mollick asks Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra to forecast solving ETH (image 2 of 4)

Ethan Mollick asks Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra to forecast solving ETH (image 3 of 4)

Ethan Mollick asks Claude Fable and GPT-6 Astra to forecast solving ETH (image 4 of 4)

Ethan Mollick @emollickOriginally posted 2026.10.27

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This never gets old (& also shows how hard forecasting AI is even for AI) “Hey Claude Fable & GPT-6 Astra, Without looking anything up, when do you think we will solve the Exponential Time Hypothesis?” (I only show part of the answers for space)

x.com/emollick/status/2115066250938192118Archived 2026.10.28 10:11