Polymarket bets on next Claude Fable beating Gemini 4 Argon
With Gemini 4 Argon leading Text Arena at 1532, Polymarket traders are betting whether the next Claude Fable can reach 1520+ to pass Opus 5.5 and challenge Argon.
Polymarket traders believe the next Claude Fable will be BETTER than Opus 5.5 And there is already an interesting market for this Traders are trading on what score the next Claude Fable will get on Text Arena -> 1500+: 91% -> 1510+: 84% -> 1520+: 56% -> 1530+: 26% But look at the current Text Arena leaderboard -> Gemini 4 Argon: 1532 -> Claude Opus 5.5: 1516 -> Claude Fable 5.1: 1512 It means that if the next Fable reaches 1520+, it will already beat Opus 5.5 And Polymarket traders are giving it a 56% chance, with YES shares trading at just 56c But Google is still ahead with Gemini 4 Argon sitting at #1 I think 1520+ is quite an interesting trade considering how strong Anthropic's recent models have been Will the next Fable finally beat Gemini or just take the lead among Claude models?