Unreleased Gemini Argon tops Arena at 1533, prompting skepticism
A skeptical post asks how unreleased Gemini Argon leads Arena with 1533 points, 21 ahead of Claude Opus 5.5, while Polymarket puts 80% odds it won't launch before November 1.

Did Google buy LM Arena or what? How is an unreleased Gemini Argon already leading on Arena AI? Especially when Polymarket is at 80% that the new model won’t even launch before November 1 And the funniest part? The best model market could basically be decided by Arena AI voting, where you can’t even be sure it’s actually Argon running there Right now: Gemini Argon - 1533 Claude Opus 5.5 - 1512 An unreleased model is already beating its closest competitor by 21 points wtf is going on?
This post quotes another post: x.com/mazinotower/status/2107459487636308006