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October best-model odds: Google at 71% after Gemini 4 Argon launch

A prediction-market screenshot shows Google leading at 71% versus Anthropic's 28% after Gemini 4 Argon's release, with Anthropic's odds resting on an unrumored new Claude.

MopOzeu
@mopozeuXArchived 7 days agoOriginally posted 2026.10.20
October best-model odds: Google at 71% after Gemini 4 Argon launch (image 1 of 2)
October best-model odds: Google at 71% after Gemini 4 Argon launch (image 2 of 2)
MopOzeu @mopozeuXOriginally posted 2026.10.20
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The best AI model for the end of October The month is already coming to an end and this market is becoming the most interesting For a long time, it was Anthropic that was the leader here But after the release of Google's Gemini 4 Argon, the odds turned upside down Since the beginning of the month, Google has been leading this market The odds look like this: > Google - 71% > Anthropic - 28% And here it's interesting why Anthropic has such a high chance This is the traders bet that Anthropic will release a new model but there are no rumors about it The "Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released" market is trading at around 20% for October, and this percentage is only falling every day Personally, I think many people just believe that Anthropic will not let October go, remaining in second place, but the main movements will take place in November before the IPO Therefore, I expect October to close with Google's victory Who do you think will win?

This post quotes another post: x.com/mopozeux/status/2112109254081421529

x.com/mopozeux/status/2112471540851699865Archived 2026.10.21 09:54