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A 10,000-agent swarm solving problems equals eight months ahead of Astra

An estimate puts the 10,000-agent swarm that solved the Navier-Stokes problem about eight months of frontier progress ahead of a single GPT-6 Astra instance.

Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01Archived 2026.09.24Originally posted 2026.09.24
A 10,000-agent swarm solving problems equals eight months ahead of Astra
Lisan al Gaib @scaling01Originally posted 2026.09.24
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Based on my estimates, the 10,000-agent swarm that solved the Navier-Stokes problem was about 8 months of frontier progress ahead of a single GPT-6-Astra instance (with a range of 5.5 to 12.4 months) It used 48,000 times more output tokens than the largest single model evaluation and roughly 68 times more than an entire long-horizon coding benchmark

This post quotes another post: x.com/scaling01/status/2102788535191572709

x.com/scaling01/status/2102806864178135051Archived 2026.09.24 10:17