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JEVDESK: using Jev to size each trade

Given the same trades and the same 63% hit rate, two bots end at five figures and zero respectively, differing only in position size; Jev sets the stake using a quarter of the Kelly criterion.

Shelpid.WI3M
@Shelpid_WI3MArchived 2026.09.21Originally posted 2026.09.20
Shelpid.WI3M @Shelpid_WI3MOriginally posted 2026.09.20
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GIVE TWO BOTS THE EXACT SAME TRADES Same pairs. Same entries. Same 63% hit rate. Same everything One ends the run at five figures. The other ends at zero The only difference is how much each one put on a fill So I built the terminal around that A pink screen, a black desk, a ranked list of pairs nobody has heard of, and Jev underneath deciding not what to buy, but how much There's a formula from 1956 called the Kelly criterion. At a 63% hit rate with winners paying 2 to 1, it says put 44.5% of the book on the table. I use a quarter of that. 11.1% That one number is the whole difference between $200 becoming five figures and $200 becoming nothing Both runs are on screen. WITHOUT KELLY bets the whole book every time and dies on the first loss. WITH KELLY compounds The run is real math on invented trades. 47 fills, 61 days, $200 to $11.5k, and the headline figure is read off the curve instead of written on top of it This is not the final version. I'm still building it. The pairs are made up and the latency numbers are placeholders But the direction is right A desk you can watch A size you can argue with A number that has to match its own chart JEVDESK It isn't smarter than you. It just bets smaller

This post quotes another post: x.com/akshay_pachaar/status/2101037514945597645

x.com/shelpid_wi3m/status/2101640135683055827Archived 2026.09.21 10:16