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Commentator says GPT-6 Astra not being smart enough to kill everyone was luck

The author compares training frontier models to Russian roulette with 50 chambers, saying Astra not causing harm this time does not mean the next model will be safe.

Tom Bibby
@tombibbysArchived 2026.09.20Originally posted 2026.09.19
Tom Bibby @tombibbysOriginally posted 2026.09.19
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And this will continue to be true with every model until it isn't! Evidently, GPT-6 Astra is not smart enough to kill everyone. But it might have been. We don't know exactly which capability thresholds will be surpassed before a model is trained. Developing it was a game of Russian roulette with 50 chambers. Next time we'll only have 40.

x.com/tombibbys/status/2101283336316489894Archived 2026.09.20 10:11