Video breaks down Dots agent failure rates and real cost
Using METR data, the video argues agents fail at a steady rate per minute, so a 100-step task succeeds only 37% of the time, and the Pro $500 tier costs $6,000 a year, while self-verification can lift success to 90%.
OpenAI just launched dots, always on AI agents with their own computer and browser that keep working through the night while you sleep, and the Pro 500 tier costs $500 a month or $6,000 a year, but give one agent 99% accuracy on every step and a 100 step task and it finishes only 37% of the time, so two out of every three jobs you pay for fail Toby Ord fit METR's data and found agents fail at a steady rate per minute, the same math as radioactive decay, so every agent has a half life and doubling the task squares your odds, one hour gets you 50%, two hours 25% and four hours just 6%, and if one attempt costs $5 then each finished task really costs about $13.50, with that bill growing the longer the job runs Verification is what protects your money today, an agent that catches 9 out of 10 of its own mistakes takes the same task from 37% to 90% on the model you already pay for 4 minutes of math to watch before you hand OpenAI $6,000 a year, so bookmark it and watch today because the launch page leaves this equation out
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