Gemini 4 Argon 让 Polymarket 十月最佳模型赔率一夜反转
视频称 Gemini 4 Argon 发布后，Google 拿下十月最佳模型的概率从 10% 飙到 59%，Anthropic 在盲测对战中被打崩。
Google just dropped an absolute nuke on the AI leaderboards Anthropic held a complete monopoly on this market for months They were sitting comfortably at 80% to win the October cutoff Then Google unleashed Gemini 4 Argon The Polymarket chart violently ripped from 10% straight to 59% overnight This isn't a minor patch, it is a generational leap that is breaking the Text Arena: > blind test win rates are completely skewed > Claude is getting systematically cleared out in head-to-head battles > the strict Style Control filter explicitly favors Argon's new architecture Retail is still hesitant, leaving the contract mispriced at 59¢ https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-1-ai-model-end-of-october-style-control-on/will-anthropic-have-the-1-ai-model-at-the-end-of-october-2026-20260811194841244?via=armouredme With the October 31st snapshot rapidly approaching, it is structurally impossible for Anthropic to train and deploy a counter-measure in time Buying Google right now isn't a prediction It is just claiming a guaranteed 41% yield on a mathematically locked race