Polymarket 押 Gemini 4.0 十月发布概率飙至 93%
Polymarket 上「Gemini 4.0 于 10 月 31 日前发布」合约涨到 93%，但作者提醒规则要求完全公开可用且明确叫 Gemini 4.0，封闭测试即判负。
Retail is throwing $1.26M at AI hype while completely ignoring the fine print The Polymarket contract for a Gemini 4.0 release by October 31 just pumped to 93% The crowd is buying code leaks and rumors But the oracle rules are mathematically unforgiving To resolve to "Yes": > The model must be fully accessible to the general public > Closed betas, private access, or waitlists mean an instant loss > It must be explicitly named Gemini 4.0 Google never drops a major architectural leap straight to the public without a gated safety phase Even if they make a massive official announcement tomorrow, a closed beta triggers a "No" resolution Buying at 93¢ is no longer a tech bet It is just donating liquidity to people who actually read the rules