Gemini 4 Argon 发布后，Polymarket 给它 69% 胜率，Claude Fable 5.5 传闻升
Gemini 4 Argon 发布后预测市场看好其登顶，作者结合 Azure API 短暂出现的 Claude Fable 5.5 泄漏，分析 Anthropic 可能的应对与交易机会。
CLAUDE FABLE 5.5 MIGHT BE MUCH CLOSER THAN PPL EXPECT Google just dropped Gemini 4 Argon, and Polymarket is giving it 69% odds of being the best AI model by the end of October I don't think Anthropic will let that narrative sit with the IPO getting closer. A major Claude upgrade would make a lot of sense rn On Oct 13, Claude Fable 5.5 showed up in Azure Models API and disappeared shortly after Polymarket still has Fable 5.2+ by Oct 17 at just 47.5%, while Oct 21 is already at 79.5% With liquidity this thin, I'd rather leave a limit on @tradenomos and wait for my price If that Azure leak was real, I think Oct 17 is where the interesting trade is