Polymarket 押注下代 Claude Fable 能否超越 Gemini 4 Argon
Text Arena 榜上 Gemini 4 Argon 以 1532 分居首，Polymarket 交易者押注下代 Claude Fable 能否冲到 1520+ 反超 Opus 5.5 并挑战 Argon。
Polymarket traders believe the next Claude Fable will be BETTER than Opus 5.5 And there is already an interesting market for this Traders are trading on what score the next Claude Fable will get on Text Arena -> 1500+: 91% -> 1510+: 84% -> 1520+: 56% -> 1530+: 26% But look at the current Text Arena leaderboard -> Gemini 4 Argon: 1532 -> Claude Opus 5.5: 1516 -> Claude Fable 5.1: 1512 It means that if the next Fable reaches 1520+, it will already beat Opus 5.5 And Polymarket traders are giving it a 56% chance, with YES shares trading at just 56c But Google is still ahead with Gemini 4 Argon sitting at #1 I think 1520+ is quite an interesting trade considering how strong Anthropic's recent models have been Will the next Fable finally beat Gemini or just take the lead among Claude models?