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交易 desk 用 Jev 当裁判,淘汰过拟合规则

一个交易 bot 让 Grok 猜、QuantGPT 测、Jev 判、代码下单:某规则样本内 0.86、样本外仅 0.17,被 Jev 判为 NO EDGE 后丢弃。

Odyssey
@OdysseyX616 天前收录原推发布于 2026.10.14
Odyssey @OdysseyX6原推发布于 2026.10.14
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THIS DESK JUST F*CKING KILLED ITS OWN BEST RULE. IT SCORED 0.86 ON THE YEARS IT WAS BUILT ON. ON YEARS IT HAD NEVER SEEN: 0.17. HOLY SH*T. TWO WORDS ON THE SCREEN: NO EDGE. most AI trading bots would have kept that rule. they fall in love with their own backtest. mine can't. here's why: Grok Bot is smart, but blind. without data it only makes a confident guess. so it doesn't get to trade. it gets a desk. 8 seats. one dial. > Grok Bot = the pilot > QuantGPT = the jet (remote MCP, no key, the server does the math) > my JEV = the judge (reads the dial, never sets it) > code = places the orders every morning QuantGPT publishes one number per sleeve: > MEME 0.29 → hold back > STOCKS 0.56 → press > TREND 0.66 → press above 0.50 the desk presses. below it, nobody trades. every rule then faces the years it never saw: > in-sample: 0.86 > unseen (split 2015): 0.17 > PASS / FRAGILE / NO EDGE FRAGILE = tighten or drop. NO EDGE = "believe it · drop the rule." the last seat is risk. final say. 4% cap. it can overrule everyone. Grok guesses. QuantGPT tests. JEV judges. Code trades. a rule that only works on old data isn't an edge. it's a memory. bookmark it. full desk is in the video.

这条是引用着另一条写的:x.com/savipww/status/2110007684976030097

x.com/odysseyx6/status/2110111567962341468采集于 2026.10.14 10:15