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用 Grok Bot 搭建 Polymarket 自动重定价系统

有人用多个 Grok Bot 代理协作组成交易算法,在 Polymarket 的 5 分钟 BTC/ETH/SOL 涨跌市场上做公允价值定价与动态对冲,账面盈利约 15 万美元。

VALIX
@RetroValix15 天前收录原推发布于 2026.10.25
VALIX @RetroValix原推发布于 2026.10.25
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This guy used Grok Bot to build a directional repricing system on Polymarket Result: +$149,920 It trades 5 minute BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets using fair value estimates and dynamic hedging Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm: 1. Looks for an undervalued outcome It uses data from external sources to continuously update P(Up) and P(Down) The model factors in the distance between the spot price and the opening level, time remaining, momentum, volatility, order flow, and a latency edge For example: > Down price = 67¢ > Model’s estimate for Down = 74% It enters a position when it identifies an edge After entry, the model keeps updating every few seconds. If confidence increases, the algorithm buys more of the same outcome 2. Hedges when the signal changes If the edge starts to disappear, it may sell part of its original position If the signal completely reverses, it sometimes buys the opposite outcome Its Polymarket account: trinity42 The algorithm’s main edge comes from the gap between its own fair value estimate and the current market price: > Buys undervalued outcomes quickly > Increases position size as confidence grows > Reduces exposure when the original signal starts to change

这条是引用着另一条写的:x.com/retrovalix/status/2114066681098355051

x.com/retrovalix/status/2114121526257787056采集于 2026.10.26 10:44