Speculative Q&A weighs whether OpenAI will answer Opus 5.5 by DevDay
A speculative Q&A says Sol is weaker overall than Opus 5.5 but far more competitive on price and efficiency, and that OpenAI has several GPT-6.x checkpoints in testing.
The text below is highly speculative, mixing behind-the-scenes details with rumors. Let me know if you like this format: 🗨️ Is there a chance OpenAI has a proper response to Opus 5.5 ready by DevDay? A: Nothing is impossible, but I think the chances are very small. The current Sol looks weaker overall than Opus 5.5, while being dramatically more competitive on price and efficiency. So unless OpenAI has another checkpoint ready, I wouldn’t expect a direct answer at that level immediately. 🗨️ Is there a chance OpenAI triggers another Code Red and rushes to try to “beat Anthropic” in the short term, especially involving “Bel”? A: I honestly don’t think there’s any real need for that right now. GPT-6 Astra is already much closer to Opus 5.5, so OpenAI still has some breathing room. The situation would become much more interesting if Anthropic launches the rumored Fable 5.5 and it lands as strongly as expected. That could shake up the competition much more. 🗨️ Does OpenAI already have more powerful models in testing that could be released relatively soon? A: Yes. I’ve seen several different checkpoints appearing in experiments, and there are quite a few of them. Most of them look much more like GPT-6.x iterations to me, something like a possible GPT-6.1 Astra, rather than some huge generational jump. Nothing I’ve seen looks like a true “GPT-7-level” leap. The one exception is the internal system some people have even described as AGI. The estimates I’ve heard still point to “before Christmas,” not DevDay, unless OpenAI decides to do something completely insane. 🗨️ What could we see at DevDay and over the next few weeks? A: Not just models. Models are likely part of the picture, but I’m also watching things like Ultrafast mode, Aeon, persistent agents, and other major product features. Aeon in particular looks like OpenAI’s answer to things like Grok Bot. 🗨️ What’s the mood like inside OpenAI? A: I don’t have literal confirmation of this, only a few rumors. But from what I’ve heard, things seem relatively normal, calm, and roughly on schedule. They already knew about Opus 5.5 and apparently weren’t caught completely off guard. BUT the engineering side over there is supposedly going absolutely insane trying to secure more compute.
This post quotes another post: x.com/sachin_scorp7/status/2102569753395277961