Polymarket 判定 Gemini 4.0 已发布，Argon 跳过等待名单
预言机裁定 Gemini 4.0 已面向公众发布：Argon 未经封闭测试直接开放 API 与 Ultra 订阅，作者承认此前「安全门控阶段」判断有误。
Oracle just proposed "Yes" on the $1.7M Gemini 4.0 market [https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026?via=armouredme] My previous thesis on Google using a gated safety phase was wrong They bypassed the waitlist entirely and dropped Gemini 4 Argon straight to API and Ultra subscribers Why the oracle accepted this resolution: > No closed beta or waitlist bottleneck > Immediate global availability via paid subscriptions > Paid API access qualifies as "general public" under Polymarket fine print Historical release patterns got broken today Google shipped a major architectural leap straight to production without a safety net
这条是引用着另一条写的：「Polymarket 押 Gemini 4.0 十月发布概率飙至 93%」